I had an interesting chat the other day with a Wellingborough landlord. He said he had been chatting with an architect friend of his who said
back in the mid 2000’s, the developments he was asked to draw were a balance of
one and two bed properties, compared to today where the majority of the
buildings he is designing are more towards two and sometimes three bedrooms. Now of course, this was all
anecdotal but it made me think if similar things were happening in the Wellingborough
property market?
This is a really important point as I explained to this landlord, as knowing when and where the demand of tenants
is going to come from in the coming decade is just as important as
knowing the supply side of the buy
to let equation, in relation to the number of properties built in Wellingborough,
Wellingborough property prices, Wellingborough yields and Wellingborough rents.
In 2001, there were 30,100 households with a population of 72,500 in
the Wellingborough Borough Council area. By 2011, that had grown to 32,100 households
and a population of 75,400.
..
meaning, between 2001 and 2011, whilst the number of households in the Wellingborough
Borough Council area grew by 6.57%, the population grew by 3.91%
Nothing surprising there then. But, as my readers will know, there is
always a but! My analysis of the 2011 Census results, using the most recent in-depth
data on household formation (eg ‘one person households’, ‘couples/ family
households’ or ‘couple + other adults households and multi -adult households’),
has displayed a sudden and unexpected break with the trends of the whole of the
20th Century. There has been a seismic change in household formation
in Wellingborough between 2001 and 2011.
Between 2001 and 2011, the population of
Wellingborough grew, as did the number of Wellingborough properties (because of
new home building). However, the growth rate of new properties built in Wellingborough
was much lower than expected though, but still the population has grown by what
was expected, meaning the average household size was
larger than anticipated in Wellingborough. In fact, average household size (ie the number of people in each property)
in 2011 was almost exactly the same as in 2001, the first time for at least 100
years it had not fallen between censuses. (Since 1911, household size has decreased
by around 20% every decade).Looking at figures specifically for Wellingborough itself,
This decline was reflected in large scale shifts in the mix of
household types. In particular, there were far more “couple + other adults households and multi -adult households” than
expected (7.0% is quite a lot of households). It can be put down to two things;
increased international migration and changes to household formation. A
particularly important reason for the difference can probably be attributed to
the evidence that migrants initially form fewer households (ie two couples share one property) than those who have lived
in the UK all their lives. Also, changes to household formation patterns
amongst the rest of the population,
including adult children living longer with their parents and more young adults
living in shared accommodation (as
can be seen in the growth of HMO properties (Homes
of Multiple Occupation).
So, what does all this mean for Wellingborough Homeowners and
Landlords? Quite a lot in fact. There has been a subtle shift to slightly
larger households in the last decade, meaning smart landlords might be tempted
to buy slightly larger properties to rent out – again good news for homeowners
who will get top dollar for their home as they sell on. But
now with Brexit, household formation might swing the other way in the next
decade? Who knows? Watch this space!
If you want to find out more about the Wellingborough Property Market,
visit the Wellingborough Property Blog http://wellingboroughpropertyblog.blogspot.co.uk/ or drop me an email to: info@express-salesandlettings.co.uk
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