What will the 0.25% Interest
Rate do to the Wellingborough Property Market?
I had an interesting chat with a landlord from the Midland Road area who
owns a few properties in the town. He popped his head in to my office as his
wife was shopping in the area (and let’s be honest talking about the Wellingborough
Property Market is a lot more interesting than clothes shopping!). We had never
spoken before (because he uses another agent in the town to manage his Wellingborough
properties) yet after reading my blog on the Wellingborough Property Market for
awhile, the landlord wanted to know my thoughts on how the recent interest rate
cut would affect the Wellingborough property market and I would also like to
share these thoughts with you……
Well it’s been a few weeks now since
interest rates were cut to 0.25% by the Bank of England as the Bank
believed Brexit could lead to a materially lower path of growth for the UK,
especially for the manufacturing and construction industries. You see for the
country as a whole, the manufacturing and construction industries are still performing
well below the pre credit crunch levels of 2008/09, so the British economy
remains highly susceptible to an economic shock. This is especially important
in Wellingborough, because even though we have had a number of local success
stories in manufacturing and construction, a large number of people are
employed in these sectors. In Wellingborough, of the 23,180 people who have a
job, 3,361 are in the manufacturing industry and 1,622 in Construction meaning
14.5% of Wellingborough
workers are employed in the Manufacturing
sector and 7% of Wellingborough
workers are in Construction
The other sector of the economy the Bank is worried
about, and an equally important one to the Wellingborough economy, is the
Financial Services industry. Financial Services in Wellingborough employ 815
people, making up 3.5% of the Wellingborough working population.
Together with a cut in interest rates, the Bank also announced an increase in the
quantity of money via a new programme of Quantitative Easing to buy £70bn
of Government and Private bonds. Now that won’t do much to the Wellingborough
property market directly, but another measure also included in the recent
announcement was £100bn of new funding to banks. This extra £100bn will help
the High St banks pass on the base rate cut to people and businesses, meaning
the banks will have lots of cheap money to lend for mortgages .. which will
have a huge effect on the Wellingborough property market (as that £100bn would
be enough to buy half a million homes in the UK).
It will take until early in the New Year to find out
the real direction of the Wellingborough property market and the effects of
Brexit on the economy as a whole, the subsequent recent interest rate cuts and
the availability of cheap mortgages. However, something bigger than
Brexit and interest rates is the inherent undersupply of housing (something I
have spoken about many times in my blog and the specific affect on Wellingborough).
The severe undersupply means that Wellingborough property prices are likely to
increase further in the medium to long term, even if there is a dip in the
short term. This only confirms what every homeowner and landlord has known for
decades .. investing in property is a long term project and as an investment
vehicle, it will continue to outstrip other forms of investment due to the high
demand for a roof over people’s heads and the low supply of new properties
being built.
For more thoughts on the Wellingborough Property
Market, please visit the Wellingborough Property Market http://wellingboroughpropertyblog.blogspot.co.uk/
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